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Potential trade wars impact U.S. Agriculture

Potential trade wars impact U.S. Agriculture


By Scout Nelson

New government recent tariff proposals have sparked concerns among Midwest farmers, as they could lead to retaliatory measures from some of the United States' largest trading partners. He has suggested imposing tariffs ranging from 10 to 60 percent on imports from countries including China, Mexico, and Canada, along with 100 percent tariffs on BRICS countries that challenge the U.S. dollar in international trade.

Agricultural economist Chad Hart from Iowa State University points out that such tariffs could result in these countries imposing their own tariffs on U.S. agricultural exports. Given that China, Canada, and Mexico are some of the largest consumers of U.S. agricultural goods, retaliatory tariffs could severely impact U.S. agriculture, particularly farmers in the Midwest.

Tariffs are significant because they act as taxes on imported products, potentially making foreign goods more expensive and less attractive to domestic consumers.

However, when the U.S. imposes tariffs, other countries may retaliate, impacting U.S. exports, particularly agricultural products. The top U.S. exports like corn and soybeans, which account for a substantial portion of U.S. agricultural exports, are often targeted in trade wars.

The potential for retaliatory tariffs has agricultural communities worried, especially those in key farming states like Iowa, Illinois, and Kansas. Past trade wars have demonstrated the vulnerabilities of these states. During the last major trade war in 2018, U.S. agriculture suffered significantly, with states like Iowa and Illinois experiencing over $1 billion in losses each due to retaliatory tariffs by Canada, China, and other trading partners.

To mitigate these losses, the USDA initiated the Market Facilitation Program, which aimed to compensate farmers for some of the lost trade. However, while these payments helped, they did not fully cover the losses experienced by farmers.

The implications of new tariffs are substantial. Economists like Glynn Tonsor from Kansas State University stress the importance of a stable trade environment for agriculture, particularly for livestock producers who operate on thin margins and make long-term investment decisions based on market stability.

As discussions about tariffs continue, the agricultural sector remains cautious, hoping for a resolution that avoids further escalation of trade tensions that could lead to more severe economic repercussions for U.S. farmers.

Photo Credit: istock-ds70

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Categories: Nebraska, Crops, Soybeans
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